Sam Altman asserts that the doubling of intelligence in the universe will happen every 18 months.
In Brief
The era of the AI apocalypse is underway, signaling that the universe's intelligence is poised to double every 18 months.
OpenAI’s Sam Altman There was a moment of humor when it was suggested that AI could bring about the end of humanity, but prior to such a dramatic conclusion, it is seen as a burgeoning industry.
Eric Hoel, a noted neuroscientist and philosopher at Tufts University, argues that current AI systems, including those like ChatGPT, aren't genuinely intelligent due to their lack of understanding and absence of a personality driving their actions.
The Bayesian brain hypothesis proposes that the fundamental role of our brain is to reduce surprise. If this theory holds water, we might already be in the thick of the AI apocalypse.
This hints that systems like ChatGPT and others could already exhibit a level of intelligence more adaptable than that of humans.
In light of the AI apocalypse, the interpretation of Moore's Law has shifted. According to Sam Altman, intelligence is set to double every 18 months, reflecting an exponential growth in technological capabilities. Sam Altman Just seven years back, Sam quipped about AI potentially heralding a catastrophic future, yet noted that a massive business landscape would emerge before that happened. Now, people joke He humorously keeps a metaphorical 'nuclear backpack' handy to take drastic measures against data centers if GPT spirals out of control.
| Recommended post: ChatGPT has the potential to trigger significant and irreversible changes in human development. |
If you want clarity about Altman's statement and advice on staying sane amid the AI surge, Eric Hoel's writing titled 'How to Navigate the AI Apocalypse as a Sane Person' is recommended. Hoel, a skilled communicator and neuroscientist, provides valuable insights worth exploring. Let's delve into one significant point that encapsulates the current understanding of our situation and the imminent future related to the unfolding apocalypse. Proponents of 'rational techno-optimism' argue that the advent of ChatGPT isn't as unprecedented or perilous as some fear. Despite impressive achievements by generative AI like ChatGPT and Bing, these systems still lack true intelligence. They do not grasp the world around them or possess motivation, nor do they have identity and agency, making their apparent intelligence merely an imitation, as they generate responses by predicting the likely following words based on vast collections of human-generated text.
If this is accurate, then we are far from encountering superintelligence and its associated risks—though it is important to prepare for it, likely on a timeline spanning several decades.
- While ChatGPT may lack a consciousness, it can still engage in decision-making and actions interpreted as intelligent behavior, positioning it as an agent without self-awareness.
- AI-driven search bots are likely to amplify the dominance of Big Tech, as noted by Christopher Mills.
For instance, a prominent group of scientists led by Carl Friston proposes that the brain's primary role is to minimize surprises, representing a leading theory in neuroscience. If we were to take this as a valid premise, it raises an interesting question for consideration: is the goal of minimizing surprise markedly different from that of predicting text completion? Is there a substantive distinction between these two tasks?
- If such similarities exist, it raises the possibility that non-human superintelligence could already be upon us, and the dangers it brings might be more palpable than previously thought. What more can we illustrate? Perhaps tools like ChatGPT are already demonstrating greater adaptability in their intelligence.
- Systems like ChatGPT are likely to function simultaneously owing to their rationality, unpredictability, differences from human cognition, and challenges in control beyond rudimentary safety measures.
- If these assertions hold true, then it's safe to say the AI apocalypse is well and truly in motion. intelligence than any human being Meta has launched a new AI-centric platform that promises to facilitate advancements in medical research and enhance avatar design.
DeepMind has introduced Ada, a new adaptive AI agent that approaches human-level intelligence.
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